YEAR ROUND COMMENT ON THE GLOBAL COAL MARKETS, ITS PARTICIPANTS AND FUTURE

ADAPTING TO CHANGES IN THE INDONESIAN REGULATORY REGIME

Published June 2018 by Adam Richardson, Partner, HFW Singapore
& Haydn Dare, Partner, Rahayu & Partners in association with HFW

At Coaltrans Asia, we talked about recent changes in the Indonesian regulatory regime for coal trading and shipping, the effects these changes might have on your sale contracts, and some practical steps parties can take to protect against changes in the regulatory landscape.

Changes in any regulatory regime can be fast paced, unpredictable and often implemented at short notice, and that is certainly the case in Indonesia. In 2018, the Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) issued two decrees which affect the sale of coal by Indonesian sellers...

MOZAMBIQUE'S COAL REVIVAL

Published June 2018 by Barry Baxter, Reporter, World Coal Magazine

Over the years, the headlines on World Coal’s reports on the re-establishment of Mozambique’s coal industry after almost 20 years of civil war have moved from the optimistic ‘Coal Fires Peace and Prosperity’ (2008), to the warning ‘At the Crossroads As Logistics Threaten Coal Developments’ (2009), ‘Going Somewhere, Slowly’ (2013) and ‘A Game of Risk As Rebels Threaten Rail Operations’ (2014), to the reminder in 2015, ‘Getting There Too Slowly’. This report shows that a major move to re-establish suitable logistics for the newly-emerging coal industry has, at last, achieved considerable success...

$70/T CAP ON INDONESIAN PRICES HIGHLIGHTS TIGHTENING COAL MARKET
Published March 2018 by Guillaume Perret, Founder and Director, Perret Associates

The surprising announcement by the Indonesian government that it will cap the price of domestic coal at $70/t (basis 6,000 NAR) is a sign of the issues and contradictions that the coal and wider energy markets will increasingly face in the decades to come. Indonesia’s largest utility, PLN, was surprised (as were many market participants) by the strength of the recovery in coal prices in 2017...

TAKEAWAYS FROM COALTRANS USA AND COALTRANS INDIA: COMMERCIAL MINING, GOOD NEWS FOR COAL IMPORTERS, AND INCREASED INVESTMENT IN COAL PROJECTS

Published March 2018 by Harry Riley-Gould, Senior Conference Producer, Coaltrans Conferences

The last month has been very busy for us at Coaltrans Conferences, with barely a moment to spare between the closing of Coaltrans USA and the opening of Coaltrans India. However, writing from our London office where we are currently being with blessed with heavy snowfall, the charms of escaping to the suns of Miami and Goa can hardly be understated. What’s more, both of the events were full of fascinating insights into the key market trends we should expect from the global coal industry in 2018...

COKING COAL MARKET TO REMAIN UNSETTLED IN 2018

Published January 2018 by Thorsten Schier, NA steel and ferrous scrap editor, American Metal Market

The coking coal market could again be in for a volatile ride in 2018 after a helter-skelter 2017 that saw massive price volatility caused by weather events and Chinese policy decisions. Last year also saw a significant shift in the way coal was priced, with indices provided by price reporting agencies instead of one-on-one negotiations being used for the first time by Japanese steelmakers to settle quarterly benchmarks...

THE IMO 2020: A SHIPPING REGULATION THAT MAY RESHAPE THE GLOBAL COAL TRADE

Published January 2018 by Alex Younevitch, Managing Editor - Freight Markets, S&P Global Platts

It is not uncommon for people in various commodity industries to believe that their markets exist in some kind of a happy bubble, where only the obvious supply and demand forces or targeted regulations can make or ruin their day. This often goes for the world of coal too. Shipping is a perfect example of a factor which sometimes gets overlooked...

A DRAMATIC YEAR FOR METALLURGICAL COAL

Published December 2017 by Miriam Falk, Senior Analyst – Steel Raw Materials, Metal Bulletin Research

A year ago when we last focussed on metallurgical coal in this blog, prices had just shot up and the commodity was about to embark on a 12-month journey of great volatility and disruption. This sub-type of bituminous coal, also known as coking coal, emerged as the best performing commodity last year after several years of declining prices...

THE LONG AND WINDING ROAD

Published November 2017 by Guillaume Perret, Founder and Director, Perret Associates

In a development that some might be tempted to view as the final nail in the coffin lid for coal power, wind power generation has outstripped hard coal-fired output so far this year in Germany for the first time since the industrial revolution. German wind output hit an all-time record in October at 12.6TWh, more than double October 2016's total...

HOW CAN INDIA’S HUNGER FOR ENERGY BE SATISFIED, WHILE BALANCING THE DEMANDS OF PRICE, ENVIRONMENT, AND INFRASTRUCTURE?

Published September 2017 by Harry Riley-Gould, Senior Conference Producer, Coaltrans Conferences

Every year in August, the Coaltrans team visit India to research market trends for our annual Coaltrans India conference. The conference is the largest gathering for the Indian coal industry, and so naturally we met with a number of key industry stakeholders during our hectic but valuable trips through Mumbai, Kolkata and Delhi. Indian energy architecture is at a vital...

IN A PARIS AGREEMENT WORLD, COAL WILL MEET GROWING ASIAN ENERGY NEEDS

Published August 2017 by Benjamin Sporton, CEO, World Coal Association

When providing 41% of the world’s electricity, 85% of global cement[1], 74% of the world’s steel[2] and 60% of the world’s aluminium[3], coal is justly considered an enabler of modern societies and economic development. Coal helps build infrastructure and power up businesses and homes. If we look at Asia, in particular, we’ll see that according to the United Nations, by…

A TESTING TIME FOR THE COKING COAL MARKET

Published September 2016 by Daisy Tseng, Steel Raw Materials Editor, Metal Bulletin

One can hardly overlook the spot price movements of coking coal over the past month as this lower-profile steelmaking raw material emerged as one of the new darlings of the commodity market. Metal Bulletin’s fob Australia premium hard coking coal index shot up by more than 40% in August alone to $139.04 per tonne at the end of the month. Prices have…

PROGNOSIS FOR THE FUTURE OF THE CHINESE COAL INDUSTRY

Published July 2016 by Dr. Lars Schernikau, HMS Bergbau Group

If I could forecast what will happen in China and how it impacts coal imports and exports then I could forecast reliably how the global seaborne coal market will develop. Unfortunately, I cannot. With only single digit coal import dependency, the pendulum can swing either way very quickly. We have seen now both, how China reduced imports and took out...

COAL IS AT A TURNING POINT

Published April 2016 by Guillaume Perret, Founder and Director, Perret Associates

As Perret Associates has just released a new quarterly edition of their Long Term Price Forecast Coal And Freight 2016-30 they share a few of their findings with Coaltrans readers. The timing is critical as, after a 5 year bear trend, the international steam coal market could be at a turning point. The main positive development since the beginning of…

COAL IS NOT IN THE BEST OF PLACES AT THE MOMENT

Published March 2016 by Jonathan Rowland, Editor, World Coal

Slowdown in China, ultra-low gas prices in the US, strong and sticky supply and tightening environmental regulation: the issues are well known and make for a gloomy backdrop to kick off this new blog. But a negative is never a good place to start. Other contributors will, I’m sure, offer a more detailed look at the market winds buffeting coal…

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